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Red35
542717.8
258754.5
310327.4
Blue92
246872.9
82468.5
458740.6
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions911230501502002503003592

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2587
Unranked
54.50.0
54.554.5
Auto0.0
Teleop54.4
End0.0
blue by 18.4
2468
Unranked
72.90.0
72.972.9
Auto-0.9
Teleop73.8
End0.0
Second
3103
Unranked
27.40.0
27.427.4
Auto-0.6
Teleop28.0
End0.0
blue by 13.2
4587
Unranked
40.60.0
40.640.6
Auto0.4
Teleop40.2
End0.0
Third
5427
Unranked
17.80.0
17.817.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop17.8
End0.0
red by 9.3
8246
Unranked
8.50.0
8.58.5
Auto0.2
Teleop8.4
End0.0