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Red174
62488.3
118108.0
147726.9
Blue122
215839.2
541411.2
288130.2
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions246470100150200300350174122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
Unranked
108.00.0
108.0108.0
Auto8.9
Teleop99.0
End0.0
red by 68.8
2158
Unranked
39.20.0
39.239.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop39.4
End0.0
Second
624
Unranked
88.30.0
88.388.3
Auto11.6
Teleop76.7
End0.0
red by 58.1
2881
Unranked
30.20.0
30.230.2
Auto0.2
Teleop30.0
End0.0
Third
1477
Unranked
26.90.0
26.926.9
Auto0.1
Teleop26.8
End0.0
red by 15.6
5414
Unranked
11.20.0
11.211.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop11.3
End0.0