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Red22
461013.2
125540.1
399922.8
Blue0
147726.9
458740.6
433510.6
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions76730204060100120220

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1255
#15
40.10.0
40.140.1
Auto1.0
Teleop39.1
End0.0
blue by 0.5
4587
#21
40.60.0
40.640.6
Auto0.4
Teleop40.2
End0.0
Second
3999
#28
22.80.0
22.822.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop23.1
End0.0
blue by 4.0
1477
#11
26.90.0
26.926.9
Auto0.1
Teleop26.8
End0.0
Third
4610
#25
13.20.0
13.213.2
Auto0.1
Teleop13.0
End0.0
red by 2.6
4335
#23
10.60.0
10.610.6
Auto0.2
Teleop10.4
End0.0