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Red180
62488.3
129656.7
27898.0
Blue92
64714.2
246872.9
181755.3
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1501355010020018092

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
624
#2
88.30.0
88.388.3
Auto11.6
Teleop76.7
End0.0
red by 15.4
72.90.0
72.972.9
Auto-0.9
Teleop73.8
End0.0
Second
56.70.0
56.756.7
Auto-1.3
Teleop58.0
End0.0
red by 1.4
1817
#13
55.30.0
55.355.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop55.4
End0.0
Third
2789
#10
8.00.0
8.08.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop8.2
End0.0
blue by 6.2
647
#16
14.20.0
14.214.2
Auto0.4
Teleop13.8
End0.0