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Red3
41843.0
65878.5
215839.2
Blue58
384727.7
50529.3
399725.7
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions94540150200358

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
418
#20
43.00.0
43.043.0
Auto0.1
Teleop42.9
End0.0
red by 15.3
27.70.0
27.727.7
Auto1.2
Teleop26.5
End0.0
Second
2158
#22
39.20.0
39.239.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop39.4
End0.0
red by 13.4
3997
#14
25.70.0
25.725.7
Auto0.3
Teleop25.4
End0.0
Third
8.50.0
8.58.5
Auto0.2
Teleop8.4
End0.0
blue by 0.7
5052
#27
9.30.0
9.39.3
Auto0.3
Teleop9.0
End0.0