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Red108
288130.2
458740.6
129656.7
Blue81
125540.1
295016.8
348141.4
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1298905010015020010881

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.70.0
56.756.7
Auto-1.3
Teleop58.0
End0.0
red by 15.3
41.40.0
41.441.4
Auto-0.8
Teleop42.3
End0.0
Second
4587
#21
40.60.0
40.640.6
Auto0.4
Teleop40.2
End0.0
red by 0.5
1255
#15
40.10.0
40.140.1
Auto1.0
Teleop39.1
End0.0
Third
30.20.0
30.230.2
Auto0.2
Teleop30.0
End0.0
red by 13.4
2950
#19
16.80.0
16.816.8
Auto-1.1
Teleop17.9
End0.0