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Red50
399922.8
295016.8
181755.3
Blue98
27898.0
65878.5
331033.5
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions101380501502005098

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1817
#13
55.30.0
55.355.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop55.4
End0.0
red by 21.8
3310
#12
33.50.0
33.533.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop33.6
End0.0
Second
3999
#28
22.80.0
22.822.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop23.1
End0.0
red by 14.3
8.50.0
8.58.5
Auto0.2
Teleop8.4
End0.0
Third
2950
#19
16.80.0
16.816.8
Auto-1.1
Teleop17.9
End0.0
red by 8.8
2789
#10
8.00.0
8.08.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop8.2
End0.0