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Red61
461013.2
181755.3
258754.5
Blue72
288130.2
300533.2
215839.2
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12394501502006172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1817
#13
55.30.0
55.355.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop55.4
End0.0
red by 16.2
2158
#22
39.20.0
39.239.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop39.4
End0.0
Second
54.50.0
54.554.5
Auto0.0
Teleop54.4
End0.0
red by 21.3
3005
#24
33.20.0
33.233.2
Auto-0.5
Teleop33.7
End0.0
Third
4610
#25
13.20.0
13.213.2
Auto0.1
Teleop13.0
End0.0
blue by 17.0
30.20.0
30.230.2
Auto0.2
Teleop30.0
End0.0