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Red80
348141.4
458740.6
258313.6
Blue104
399922.8
433510.6
62488.3
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8712305010015020025080104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.40.0
41.441.4
Auto-0.8
Teleop42.3
End0.0
blue by 46.8
624
#2
88.30.0
88.388.3
Auto11.6
Teleop76.7
End0.0
Second
4587
#21
40.60.0
40.640.6
Auto0.4
Teleop40.2
End0.0
red by 17.8
3999
#28
22.80.0
22.822.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop23.1
End0.0
Third
2583
#18
13.60.0
13.613.6
Auto1.2
Teleop12.3
End0.0
red by 3.0
4335
#23
10.60.0
10.610.6
Auto0.2
Teleop10.4
End0.0