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Red167
125540.1
129656.7
384727.7
Blue91
295016.8
373543.9
65878.5
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13255010015020025016791

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.70.0
56.756.7
Auto-1.3
Teleop58.0
End0.0
red by 12.8
3735
#26
43.90.0
43.943.9
Auto-0.4
Teleop44.4
End0.0
Second
1255
#15
40.10.0
40.140.1
Auto1.0
Teleop39.1
End0.0
red by 23.3
2950
#19
16.80.0
16.816.8
Auto-1.1
Teleop17.9
End0.0
Third
27.70.0
27.727.7
Auto1.2
Teleop26.5
End0.0
red by 19.1
8.50.0
8.58.5
Auto0.2
Teleop8.4
End0.0