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Red114
331033.5
64714.2
147726.9
Blue56
399725.7
41843.0
246872.9
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57151010020025030011456

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3310
#12
33.50.0
33.533.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop33.6
End0.0
blue by 39.4
72.90.0
72.972.9
Auto-0.9
Teleop73.8
End0.0
Second
1477
#11
26.90.0
26.926.9
Auto0.1
Teleop26.8
End0.0
blue by 16.1
418
#20
43.00.0
43.043.0
Auto0.1
Teleop42.9
End0.0
Third
647
#16
14.20.0
14.214.2
Auto0.4
Teleop13.8
End0.0
blue by 11.5
3997
#14
25.70.0
25.725.7
Auto0.3
Teleop25.4
End0.0