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Red38
295016.8
45725.7
384727.7
Blue41
461013.2
300533.2
399725.7
53%Model gave it47%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7067204060801001201403841

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.70.0
27.727.7
Auto1.2
Teleop26.5
End0.0
blue by 5.5
3005
#24
33.20.0
33.233.2
Auto-0.5
Teleop33.7
End0.0
Second
457
#17
25.70.0
25.725.7
Auto0.7
Teleop25.0
End0.0
Level
3997
#14
25.70.0
25.725.7
Auto0.3
Teleop25.4
End0.0
Third
2950
#19
16.80.0
16.816.8
Auto-1.1
Teleop17.9
End0.0
red by 3.6
4610
#25
13.20.0
13.213.2
Auto0.1
Teleop13.0
End0.0