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Red48
181755.3
147726.9
215839.2
Blue90
50529.3
258754.5
331033.5
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions122890501001502002504890

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1817
#13
55.30.0
55.355.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop55.4
End0.0
red by 0.9
54.50.0
54.554.5
Auto0.0
Teleop54.4
End0.0
Second
2158
#22
39.20.0
39.239.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop39.4
End0.0
red by 5.7
3310
#12
33.50.0
33.533.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop33.6
End0.0
Third
1477
#11
26.90.0
26.926.9
Auto0.1
Teleop26.8
End0.0
red by 17.6
5052
#27
9.30.0
9.39.3
Auto0.3
Teleop9.0
End0.0