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Red64
50529.3
246872.9
373543.9
Blue90
399922.8
288130.2
258754.5
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions126100501502002506490

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.90.0
72.972.9
Auto-0.9
Teleop73.8
End0.0
red by 18.4
54.50.0
54.554.5
Auto0.0
Teleop54.4
End0.0
Second
3735
#26
43.90.0
43.943.9
Auto-0.4
Teleop44.4
End0.0
red by 13.7
30.20.0
30.230.2
Auto0.2
Teleop30.0
End0.0
Third
5052
#27
9.30.0
9.39.3
Auto0.3
Teleop9.0
End0.0
blue by 13.6
3999
#28
22.80.0
22.822.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop23.1
End0.0