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Red100
348141.4
461013.2
384727.7
Blue58
181755.3
125540.1
27898.0
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7510405015020025030010058

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.40.0
41.441.4
Auto-0.8
Teleop42.3
End0.0
blue by 13.9
1817
#13
55.30.0
55.355.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop55.4
End0.0
Second
27.70.0
27.727.7
Auto1.2
Teleop26.5
End0.0
blue by 12.4
1255
#15
40.10.0
40.140.1
Auto1.0
Teleop39.1
End0.0
Third
4610
#25
13.20.0
13.213.2
Auto0.1
Teleop13.0
End0.0
red by 5.2
2789
#10
8.00.0
8.08.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop8.2
End0.0