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Red26
300533.2
373543.9
399922.8
Blue132
215839.2
399725.7
62488.3
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8515905010020025030026132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3735
#26
43.90.0
43.943.9
Auto-0.4
Teleop44.4
End0.0
blue by 44.3
624
#2
88.30.0
88.388.3
Auto11.6
Teleop76.7
End0.0
Second
3005
#24
33.20.0
33.233.2
Auto-0.5
Teleop33.7
End0.0
blue by 6.0
2158
#22
39.20.0
39.239.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop39.4
End0.0
Third
3999
#28
22.80.0
22.822.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop23.1
End0.0
blue by 2.9
3997
#14
25.70.0
25.725.7
Auto0.3
Teleop25.4
End0.0