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Red50
258754.5
258313.6
295016.8
Blue114
65878.5
181755.3
129656.7
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7412405010015020025050114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.50.0
54.554.5
Auto0.0
Teleop54.4
End0.0
blue by 2.2
56.70.0
56.756.7
Auto-1.3
Teleop58.0
End0.0
Second
2950
#19
16.80.0
16.816.8
Auto-1.1
Teleop17.9
End0.0
blue by 38.5
1817
#13
55.30.0
55.355.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop55.4
End0.0
Third
2583
#18
13.60.0
13.613.6
Auto1.2
Teleop12.3
End0.0
red by 5.0
8.50.0
8.58.5
Auto0.2
Teleop8.4
End0.0