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Red65
215839.2
45725.7
373543.9
Blue65
125540.1
41843.0
64714.2
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10791501502006565

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3735
#26
43.90.0
43.943.9
Auto-0.4
Teleop44.4
End0.0
red by 0.9
418
#20
43.00.0
43.043.0
Auto0.1
Teleop42.9
End0.0
Second
2158
#22
39.20.0
39.239.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop39.4
End0.0
blue by 0.9
1255
#15
40.10.0
40.140.1
Auto1.0
Teleop39.1
End0.0
Third
457
#17
25.70.0
25.725.7
Auto0.7
Teleop25.0
End0.0
red by 11.6
647
#16
14.20.0
14.214.2
Auto0.4
Teleop13.8
End0.0