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Red10
288130.2
433510.6
246872.9
Blue90
50529.3
295016.8
300533.2
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1224501001502002501090

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.90.0
72.972.9
Auto-0.9
Teleop73.8
End0.0
red by 39.7
3005
#24
33.20.0
33.233.2
Auto-0.5
Teleop33.7
End0.0
Second
30.20.0
30.230.2
Auto0.2
Teleop30.0
End0.0
red by 13.4
2950
#19
16.80.0
16.816.8
Auto-1.1
Teleop17.9
End0.0
Third
4335
#23
10.60.0
10.610.6
Auto0.2
Teleop10.4
End0.0
red by 1.4
5052
#27
9.30.0
9.39.3
Auto0.3
Teleop9.0
End0.0