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Red74
64714.2
129656.7
50529.3
Blue42
384727.7
300533.2
331033.5
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74940501502002503007442

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.70.0
56.756.7
Auto-1.3
Teleop58.0
End0.0
red by 23.2
3310
#12
33.50.0
33.533.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop33.6
End0.0
Second
647
#16
14.20.0
14.214.2
Auto0.4
Teleop13.8
End0.0
blue by 19.0
3005
#24
33.20.0
33.233.2
Auto-0.5
Teleop33.7
End0.0
Third
5052
#27
9.30.0
9.39.3
Auto0.3
Teleop9.0
End0.0
blue by 18.4
27.70.0
27.727.7
Auto1.2
Teleop26.5
End0.0