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Red16
45725.7
399922.8
41843.0
Blue106
62488.3
295016.8
288130.2
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7914005010020025030016106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
418
#20
43.00.0
43.043.0
Auto0.1
Teleop42.9
End0.0
blue by 45.3
624
#2
88.30.0
88.388.3
Auto11.6
Teleop76.7
End0.0
Second
457
#17
25.70.0
25.725.7
Auto0.7
Teleop25.0
End0.0
blue by 4.5
30.20.0
30.230.2
Auto0.2
Teleop30.0
End0.0
Third
3999
#28
22.80.0
22.822.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop23.1
End0.0
red by 6.0
2950
#19
16.80.0
16.816.8
Auto-1.1
Teleop17.9
End0.0