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Red90
458740.6
300533.2
65878.5
Blue93
348141.4
181755.3
373543.9
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions671480501002002503009093

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4587
#21
40.60.0
40.640.6
Auto0.4
Teleop40.2
End0.0
blue by 14.7
1817
#13
55.30.0
55.355.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop55.4
End0.0
Second
3005
#24
33.20.0
33.233.2
Auto-0.5
Teleop33.7
End0.0
blue by 10.8
3735
#26
43.90.0
43.943.9
Auto-0.4
Teleop44.4
End0.0
Third
8.50.0
8.58.5
Auto0.2
Teleop8.4
End0.0
blue by 32.9
41.40.0
41.441.4
Auto-0.8
Teleop42.3
End0.0