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Red38
258313.6
433510.6
125540.1
Blue80
246872.9
384727.7
258754.5
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4216901001502002503003503880

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1255
#15
40.10.0
40.140.1
Auto1.0
Teleop39.1
End0.0
blue by 32.8
72.90.0
72.972.9
Auto-0.9
Teleop73.8
End0.0
Second
2583
#18
13.60.0
13.613.6
Auto1.2
Teleop12.3
End0.0
blue by 40.9
54.50.0
54.554.5
Auto0.0
Teleop54.4
End0.0
Third
4335
#23
10.60.0
10.610.6
Auto0.2
Teleop10.4
End0.0
blue by 17.1
27.70.0
27.727.7
Auto1.2
Teleop26.5
End0.0