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Red16
464115.2
374323.6
50529.3
Blue122
172626.6
331430.1
557220.3
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4570020608010012014016016122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.60.8
24.423.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop23.8
End0.0
blue by 6.5
30.10.9
27.728.6
Auto0.4
Teleop29.7
End0.0
Second
15.20.6
15.715.2
Auto0.6
Teleop14.5
End0.0
blue by 11.5
26.61.2
23.424.6
Auto0.3
Teleop26.4
End0.0
Third
5052
#30
9.30.8
10.09.3
Auto0.3
Teleop9.0
End0.0
blue by 11.1
5572
#14
20.31.2
17.118.3
Auto0.2
Teleop20.2
End0.0