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Red157
246841.0
129644.2
241528.8
Blue93
172626.6
331430.1
557220.3
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1116605015020025015793

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.20.8
42.343.1
Auto-0.7
Teleop44.9
End0.0
red by 14.1
30.10.4
29.730.1
Auto0.4
Teleop29.7
End0.0
Second
41.00.8
39.240.0
Auto0.1
Teleop41.0
End0.0
red by 14.4
26.60.5
26.126.6
Auto0.3
Teleop26.4
End0.0
Third
2415
#15
28.81.1
26.327.4
Auto0.2
Teleop28.6
End0.0
red by 8.5
5572
#14
20.30.5
19.820.3
Auto0.2
Teleop20.2
End0.0