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Red119
181726.4
23328.5
215820.3
Blue73
125519.6
23124.3
45717.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6051020408010012014011973

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
233
#3
28.51.0
24.525.4
Auto0.9
Teleop27.5
End0.0
red by 4.2
231
#13
24.30.4
21.722.1
Auto0.1
Teleop24.2
End0.0
Second
1817
#16
26.41.3
21.122.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop26.5
End0.0
red by 6.8
1255
#17
19.60.4
17.017.4
Auto1.9
Teleop17.7
End0.0
Third
2158
#40
20.31.3
15.016.3
Auto0.4
Teleop19.9
End0.0
red by 3.0
457
#26
17.30.3
15.415.7
Auto0.7
Teleop16.6
End0.0