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Red62
39619.7
23328.5
51039.6
Blue125
464115.2
246841.0
23124.3
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26610408010012014016062125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
233
#3
28.51.5
15.717.1
Auto0.9
Teleop27.5
End0.0
blue by 12.6
41.03.7
26.129.8
Auto0.1
Teleop41.0
End0.0
Second
3961
#32
9.72.4
11.213.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop9.7
End0.0
blue by 14.6
231
#13
24.36.1
20.927.0
Auto0.1
Teleop24.2
End0.0
Third
5103
#36
9.62.4
5.98.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop9.6
End0.0
blue by 5.6
15.23.7
10.814.5
Auto0.6
Teleop14.5
End0.0