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Red6
288114.2
557220.3
433510.6
Blue0
367910.4
399714.6
504715.7
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3144010015060

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5572
#14
20.32.4
11.99.5
Auto0.2
Teleop20.2
End0.0
red by 4.7
5047
#18
15.72.7
14.912.2
Auto0.8
Teleop14.8
End0.0
Second
2881
#23
14.22.4
13.511.2
Auto0.0
Teleop14.2
End0.0
blue by 0.4
3997
#53
14.62.7
17.915.2
Auto0.1
Teleop14.6
End0.0
Third
4335
#35
10.62.4
8.96.5
Auto0.2
Teleop10.4
End0.0
red by 0.3
3679
#41
10.42.7
11.28.5
Auto0.6
Teleop9.8
End0.0