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Red72
370013.0
50529.3
129644.2
Blue27
33454.6
406321.0
330516.9
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions423102060801001207227

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.21.5
23.825.3
Auto-0.7
Teleop44.9
End0.0
red by 23.2
4063
#12
21.00.3
16.115.8
Auto0.5
Teleop20.6
End0.0
Second
3700
#21
13.02.5
6.59.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop13.0
End0.0
blue by 3.9
3305
#19
16.90.6
10.29.6
Auto0.4
Teleop16.5
End0.0
Third
5052
#30
9.32.5
11.413.9
Auto0.3
Teleop9.0
End0.0
red by 4.7
3345
#55
4.60.6
7.67.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop4.7
End0.0