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Red39
172626.6
4997.7
459714.0
Blue50
45717.3
258313.6
370013.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35330102040506070803950

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.60.2
23.723.9
Auto0.3
Teleop26.4
End0.0
red by 9.3
457
#26
17.30.8
13.013.8
Auto0.7
Teleop16.6
End0.0
Second
4597
#20
14.00.2
8.58.7
Auto0.6
Teleop13.4
End0.0
red by 0.4
2583
#37
13.61.3
12.613.8
Auto1.2
Teleop12.3
End0.0
Third
499
#44
7.70.2
4.14.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.8
End0.0
blue by 5.3
3700
#21
13.01.3
9.010.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop13.0
End0.0