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Red4
30295.4
18685.4
23124.3
Blue0
504715.7
28057.4
49897.3
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46260608010012014040

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
231
#13
24.33.4
27.624.2
Auto0.1
Teleop24.2
End0.0
red by 8.6
5047
#18
15.71.5
11.510.0
Auto0.8
Teleop14.8
End0.0
Second
3029
#58
5.43.4
4.81.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop5.5
End0.0
blue by 1.9
2805
#49
7.41.5
7.86.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.4
End0.0
Third
1868
#59
5.43.4
12.18.7
Auto0.0
Teleop5.4
End0.0
blue by 1.8
4989
#56
7.31.5
10.59.0
Auto0.1
Teleop7.2
End0.0