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Red14
43786.5
568111.1
333512.4
Blue2
44127.0
56398.0
241528.8
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30390206080100120140160142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3335
#38
12.41.5
18.116.6
Auto0.1
Teleop12.4
End0.0
blue by 16.4
2415
#15
28.83.1
22.419.4
Auto0.2
Teleop28.6
End0.0
Second
5681
#34
11.11.5
9.47.8
Auto0.1
Teleop11.0
End0.0
red by 3.1
5639
#52
8.03.1
4.81.7
Auto0.2
Teleop7.7
End0.0
Third
4378
#51
6.51.5
4.93.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop6.6
End0.0
blue by 0.5
4412
#47
7.03.1
11.98.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.2
End0.0