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Red21
331430.1
43786.5
47216.8
Blue6
467013.5
30295.4
461012.0
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions442306080100120216

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.10.5
26.826.4
Auto0.4
Teleop29.7
End0.0
red by 16.6
4670
#31
13.51.3
10.59.3
Auto0.2
Teleop13.2
End0.0
Second
4721
#50
6.80.8
10.09.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop6.9
End0.0
blue by 5.2
4610
#29
12.01.3
14.913.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop12.0
End0.0
Third
4378
#51
6.50.8
5.44.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop6.6
End0.0
red by 1.0
3029
#58
5.41.3
1.60.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop5.5
End0.0