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Red6
333512.4
288114.2
44127.0
Blue88
4997.7
246841.0
310319.5
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4063050100150200688

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2881
#23
14.23.2
16.313.0
Auto0.0
Teleop14.2
End0.0
blue by 26.8
41.01.3
33.534.8
Auto0.1
Teleop41.0
End0.0
Second
3335
#38
12.43.2
19.015.7
Auto0.1
Teleop12.4
End0.0
blue by 7.0
3103
#10
19.52.2
22.724.9
Auto0.2
Teleop19.3
End0.0
Third
4412
#47
7.03.2
9.76.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.2
End0.0
blue by 0.7
499
#44
7.72.2
5.77.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.8
End0.0