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Red50
467013.5
44127.0
370013.0
Blue45
215820.3
30295.4
348115.9
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions253104060801001201401605045

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4670
#31
13.51.8
9.311.1
Auto0.2
Teleop13.2
End0.0
blue by 6.9
2158
#40
20.31.5
13.915.5
Auto0.4
Teleop19.9
End0.0
Second
3700
#21
13.01.8
11.213.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop13.0
End0.0
blue by 3.0
3481
#11
15.91.0
17.118.1
Auto-0.5
Teleop16.4
End0.0
Third
4412
#47
7.01.8
6.48.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.2
End0.0
red by 1.6
3029
#58
5.41.5
0.41.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop5.5
End0.0