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Red6
49897.3
406321.0
2721-0.5
Blue4
57262.1
333512.4
39619.7
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33321020405064

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4063
#12
21.01.4
20.218.8
Auto0.5
Teleop20.6
End0.0
red by 8.6
3335
#38
12.42.3
15.713.5
Auto0.1
Teleop12.4
End0.0
Second
4989
#56
7.32.2
11.89.6
Auto0.1
Teleop7.2
End0.0
blue by 2.4
3961
#32
9.72.3
12.29.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop9.7
End0.0
Third
2721
#60
-0.52.2
2.30.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop-0.3
End0.0
blue by 2.6
5726
#57
2.12.3
5.63.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop2.2
End0.0