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Red60
4997.7
42199.6
331430.1
Blue66
524110.6
356111.5
374323.6
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions424002060801006066

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.11.1
26.427.5
Auto0.4
Teleop29.7
End0.0
red by 6.5
23.61.9
19.821.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop23.8
End0.0
Second
4219
#42
9.61.8
8.810.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.7
End0.0
blue by 1.9
3561
#22
11.51.9
11.413.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.7
End0.0
Third
499
#44
7.71.8
7.99.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.8
End0.0
blue by 2.9
5241
#39
10.61.9
10.212.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.7
End0.0