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Qual 162015 Utah Regional
Red54
324530.7
299321.3
43487.5
Blue87
426811.2
322513.4
19246.0
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions503501001505487

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3245
#11
30.70.4
24.9→25.3
Auto0.0
Teleop30.6
End0.0
blue by 15.3
192
#7
46.02.7
25.0→27.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop46.2
End0.0
Second
2993
#23
21.30.4
18.4→18.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop21.7
End0.0
red by 8.0
3225
#21
13.44.0
5.9→9.9
Auto-1.0
Teleop14.3
End0.0
Third
4348
#51
7.50.4
6.0→6.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop7.6
End0.0
blue by 3.7
4268
#42
11.24.0
7.7→11.7
Auto0.7
Teleop10.5
End0.0