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Red82
183623.9
323048.4
328917.8
Blue46
299638.0
415828.9
321612.1
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions355901001502008246

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.43.5
14.718.2
Auto0.5
Teleop47.9
End0.0
red by 10.3
38.00.9
29.128.2
Auto0.4
Teleop37.6
End0.0
Second
1836
#37
23.92.1
14.516.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop24.0
End0.0
blue by 5.0
4158
#18
28.90.9
15.514.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop29.0
End0.0
Third
3289
#27
17.83.5
11.014.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop18.0
End0.0
red by 5.7
3216
#45
12.10.9
12.611.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.1
End0.0