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Qual 182015 Utah Regional
Red123
248626.6
62465.3
324120.2
Blue152
66240.5
243723.0
161962.5
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions77590100150200123152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
624
#1
65.32.9
42.5→45.4
Auto12.4
Teleop53.0
End0.0
red by 2.8
1619
#2
62.57.4
26.6→34.0
Auto0.6
Teleop61.8
End0.0
Second
2486
#17
26.64.3
22.5→26.8
Auto1.3
Teleop25.3
End0.0
blue by 13.9
662
#6
40.57.4
18.8→26.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop40.6
End0.0
Third
3241
#32
20.24.3
12.3→16.6
Auto0.5
Teleop19.7
End0.0
blue by 2.8
2437
#13
23.07.4
18.2→25.6
Auto0.6
Teleop22.4
End0.0