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Red10
322513.4
340513.6
546114.5
Blue36
507117.4
431011.6
328917.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2625010203040506070801036

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5461
#43
14.57.3
14.57.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop14.7
End0.0
blue by 3.4
3289
#27
17.80.8
10.211.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop18.0
End0.0
Second
3405
#47
13.61.4
10.59.1
Auto0.2
Teleop13.4
End0.0
blue by 3.7
5071
#34
17.40.8
7.28.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop17.6
End0.0
Third
3225
#21
13.41.4
7.35.9
Auto-1.0
Teleop14.3
End0.0
red by 1.8
4310
#48
11.60.8
9.510.2
Auto-0.4
Teleop12.0
End0.0