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Red14
426811.2
515924.1
337432.6
Blue48
141027.0
316624.3
415310.6
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26390501001501448

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3374
#10
32.60.7
9.89.1
Auto0.6
Teleop32.0
End0.0
red by 5.6
1410
#19
27.00.8
15.015.8
Auto0.1
Teleop26.9
End0.0
Second
5159
#25
24.10.7
10.69.8
Auto-0.7
Teleop24.8
End0.0
blue by 0.2
3166
#15
24.315.0
24.39.3
Auto0.6
Teleop23.6
End0.0
Third
4268
#42
11.20.7
8.47.7
Auto0.7
Teleop10.5
End0.0
red by 0.6
4153
#52
10.60.8
14.815.6
Auto0.0
Teleop10.6
End0.0