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Red30
417514.2
189119.3
458518.4
Blue27
321612.1
328819.3
426811.2
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions335201001503027

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1891
#31
19.30.6
18.317.7
Auto0.8
Teleop18.5
End0.0
Level
3288
#22
19.32.0
16.814.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.4
End0.0
Second
4585
#30
18.40.6
11.210.6
Auto0.6
Teleop17.7
End0.0
red by 6.3
3216
#45
12.12.0
14.012.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.1
End0.0
Third
4175
#44
14.20.6
7.46.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop14.3
End0.0
red by 3.0
4268
#42
11.22.0
19.918.0
Auto0.7
Teleop10.5
End0.0