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Red60
433419.3
133922.7
259418.1
Blue3
507117.4
299321.3
248626.6
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54600100150200250603

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1339
#28
22.70.3
21.621.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop22.8
End0.0
blue by 3.9
2486
#17
26.63.9
27.823.9
Auto1.3
Teleop25.3
End0.0
Second
4334
#49
19.30.3
25.926.2
Auto0.7
Teleop18.6
End0.0
blue by 2.1
2993
#23
21.33.9
20.716.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop21.7
End0.0
Third
2594
#41
18.10.3
9.09.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop18.2
End0.0
red by 0.8
5071
#34
17.43.9
12.88.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop17.6
End0.0