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Qual 532015 Utah Regional
Red75
281316.2
455030.4
340513.6
Blue108
323920.8
161962.5
248626.6
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4284010015020075108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4550
#14
30.42.0
22.1→24.2
Auto0.0
Teleop30.4
End0.0
blue by 32.1
1619
#2
62.52.2
38.2→40.5
Auto0.6
Teleop61.8
End0.0
Second
2813
#33
16.22.0
13.1→15.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.3
End0.0
blue by 10.4
2486
#17
26.62.2
23.9→26.2
Auto1.3
Teleop25.3
End0.0
Third
3405
#47
13.62.0
15.3→17.3
Auto0.2
Teleop13.4
End0.0
blue by 7.2
3239
#20
20.82.2
18.9→21.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop21.0
End0.0