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Red45
507117.4
325116.0
66240.5
Blue25
300614.0
534616.8
324322.7
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions674101001502004525

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
662
#6
40.51.7
36.234.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop40.6
End0.0
red by 17.8
3243
#29
22.71.3
19.718.4
Auto0.8
Teleop21.9
End0.0
Second
5071
#34
17.41.7
11.49.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop17.6
End0.0
red by 0.6
5346
#26
16.81.3
17.015.8
Auto0.4
Teleop16.3
End0.0
Third
3251
#40
16.01.7
17.816.1
Auto0.6
Teleop15.4
End0.0
red by 2.0
3006
#53
14.01.3
9.68.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.1
End0.0