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Red50
316624.3
15669.9
546114.5
Blue53
433419.3
183623.9
243723.0
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36700501001505053

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3166
#15
24.30.6
19.420.0
Auto0.6
Teleop23.6
End0.0
red by 0.4
1836
#37
23.90.7
18.117.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop24.0
End0.0
Second
5461
#43
14.50.6
9.09.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop14.7
End0.0
blue by 8.6
2437
#13
23.01.2
26.625.4
Auto0.6
Teleop22.4
End0.0
Third
1566
#50
9.90.6
14.314.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop10.0
End0.0
blue by 9.4
4334
#49
19.31.2
22.721.5
Auto0.7
Teleop18.6
End0.0