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Qual 562015 Utah Regional
Red133
459815.6
62465.3
458518.4
Blue89
20297.9
19246.0
324120.2
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8152010015020013389

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
624
#1
65.32.7
55.0→57.7
Auto12.4
Teleop53.0
End0.0
red by 19.3
192
#7
46.01.5
30.8→32.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop46.2
End0.0
Second
4585
#30
18.44.4
12.8→17.2
Auto0.6
Teleop17.7
End0.0
blue by 1.9
3241
#32
20.22.5
19.4→21.9
Auto0.5
Teleop19.7
End0.0
Third
4598
#39
15.64.4
11.8→16.3
Auto0.6
Teleop15.0
End0.0
red by 7.6
2029
#46
7.92.5
8.4→10.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop8.1
End0.0