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Red68
322513.4
248626.6
300926.7
Blue123
156939.4
515924.1
141027.0
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70682040608010012068123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3009
#12
26.70.3
29.929.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop26.9
End0.0
blue by 12.8
39.44.4
33.738.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop39.5
End0.0
Second
2486
#17
26.60.3
26.225.8
Auto1.3
Teleop25.3
End0.0
blue by 0.3
1410
#19
27.04.4
22.126.5
Auto0.1
Teleop26.9
End0.0
Third
3225
#21
13.40.3
15.915.6
Auto-1.0
Teleop14.3
End0.0
blue by 10.7
5159
#25
24.14.4
14.919.3
Auto-0.7
Teleop24.8
End0.0