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Red29
321612.1
324530.7
340513.6
Blue40
259418.1
415828.9
325116.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions645301001502940

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3245
#11
30.72.5
32.730.3
Auto0.0
Teleop30.6
End0.0
red by 1.7
4158
#18
28.91.1
28.930.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop29.0
End0.0
Second
3405
#47
13.62.5
17.314.9
Auto0.2
Teleop13.4
End0.0
blue by 4.5
2594
#41
18.11.1
11.612.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop18.2
End0.0
Third
3216
#45
12.12.5
14.411.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.1
End0.0
blue by 3.9
3251
#40
16.01.0
16.117.1
Auto0.6
Teleop15.4
End0.0